Canada's Debt Problem, All That Glisters, IT Economics, Green Tea, Canada's Workhouses, Letting Lehman Go, 210mn Unemployed
My mom very rarely cried.
The few times she did cry -- I can remember three times -- twice out of shock, once out of anger -- are seared into my brain.
One of those three times was one afternoon in 1980 when I had just come back from school. That morning she had co-signed a one year mortgage on our home at an 18% interest rate. The 10-year mortgage had come due and my family ran smack into the greatest inflation episode in modern Canadian economic history http://canadabubble.com/charts/521-canada-inflation-rate-history.html.
We survived but I have had a chronic fear of debt ever since thankfully shared with my wife.
News then that Canadian households are among the most levered in the G7 cradled by rock bottom interest rates.
Tears may fall.
Understanding gold's run, the power of falling IT prices on the developing economies, the colour of tea in America, are Canada's child labour laws reminiscent of Dickens's 18th century Britain?, thoughts about the state and letting Lehman go, and how not to employ the 210 million that are unemployed.
Canadian households are levered second only to the United States among the G7. Come on people, lighten up!
Much has been said recently about how Canadian families are ringing up huge amounts of debt, and consumers have been warned repeatedly that they may be in over their heads as interest
rates rise. http://www.theglobeandmail.com/report-on-business/top-business-stories/canada-and-household-debt-almost-the-worst-among-g7/article1709705/
The price of gold has hit nominal highs ($1270 per once) in recent days. The Japanese government launched an aggressive attempt to decrease the value of the yen. The American government is pressuring China to increase the value of its currency.
All are linked because the world may be on the verge of an enormous dénouement in the 39 year experiment in true paper currencies that began when the Nixon Administration un-pegged the US dollar to a fixed price of gold. The trust that central banks will act to protect the value of the currencies they are responsible for has had no basis in fact.
Greenspan's gold.
The reality is that the real beneficiaries of un-pegged currencies were those that manifestly distrusted central banks, namely investors into gold, and countries that artificially weakened their currencies -- aka China.
Of all US asset classes since 2000 which has performed the best?
Jonathan Spall explains. Central banks have lost control and human beings are irrational.
Over the past 10 years gold has increased five-fold and recently hit an all-time nominal high above $1,270 per ounce. There are many commentators confidently predicting further gains before the end of the year as well as a new inflation adjusted all-time high (estimated to be $2,250 in today’s money) in the next few years. http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/568edbd4-c0e1-11df-99c4-00144feab49a.html?ftcamp=rss&ftcamp=crm/email/2010916/nbe/Comment/product
The attempt by a central bank to weaken its currency gives more incentive to those long gold.
THE Japanese have intervened today to drive down the yen, for the first time since 2004, and have had some initial success. http://www.economist.com/blogs/buttonwood/2010/09/currencies_gold_and_international_competition&fsrc=nwl
Japan's attempt to weaken its currency may give China room to refuse to let theirs go higher. Trade protection through the front door.
Japan's first intervention in the foreign exchange market in almost six years may undermine calls for China to let its currency appreciate. http://search.japantimes.co.jp/rss/nb20100916n2.html
It will be hard for Japan to get much traction on weakening its currency because every other country is trying to do the same thing.
Japan’s decision to intervene in currency markets to weaken the yen and shore up its export-driven economy could be only the first step in a long battle — one made more difficult because Japan, unable to find support among its trading partners, must go it alone. http://www.nytimes.com/2010/09/16/business/global/16yen.html?_r=2&ref=global
Some of the smartest people in the world who also happen to be pretty good investors work at the world's largest bond fund PIMCO. News that they are going long inflation and betting that the Federal Reserve will keep devaluing the US dollar. Betting with Ben's helicopters http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sx7XNb3Q9Ek
Thanks to David of Victoria for sending this in.
Bill Gross’s Pacific Investment Management Co. made an $8.1 billion wager that the U.S. won’t suffer a decade of deflation like the one that crippled Japan starting in the 1990s. http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2010-09-15/pimco-makes-8-1-billion-bet-against-lost-decade-of-deflation.html
Oh, and for the precise, the expression is not, 'All that glitters...' but:
"All that glisters is not gold; / Often have you heard that told. / Many a man his life hath sold / But my outside to behold. / Gilded tombs do worms enfold." The Merchant of Venice (II, vii)
Andy Xie on the power of inexpensive information technologies and their defining positive impact on the developing economies. For students of Canada's poor productivity performance virtual monopolies in information technologies pushes up prices and reduces national wealth.
As cloud computing, optical fiber lines and mobile devices combine to form a much more powerful and accessible IT network, information and communication costs are falling to as low as zero. Some analysts consider this a third wave for the IT revolution, following the IBM mainframe of the 1980s and the advent of personal computers alongside the Internet in the 1990s. http://english.caing.com/2010-09-07/100177858.html
Mummy, why are most of the faces white?
Call out the National Guard! It's racial integration time in the Tea Party. http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2010/09/14/AR2010091405457.html?wprss=rss_opinions
And the Economist even took a poll of Tea Party supporters just to be sure.
ON SEPTEMBER 14th tea-party conservatives struck another blow to the Republican establishment when Christine O'Donnell defied expectations to win the Republican Delaware Senate primary, beating Mike Castle, a nine-term Republican congressman. http://www.economist.com/node/17035460?story_id=17035460&fsrc=nwl
I am sure that the Canadian Labour Congress does good work.
But comparing Canada's child labour laws to Afghanistan and North Korea undermines their credibility.
This Statement is intended to guide the actions of individuals and affiliate organizations who have pledged to take part in a national campaign to raise awareness about Canada’s inadequate minimum age laws and to advocate for Canada to ratify the International Labour Organization (ILO) Convention 138 (C138). http://www.canadianlabour.ca/news-room/statements/statement-minimum-age-campaign
Related.
Last week, thousands of young Canadians traded in their supermarket smocks, dusty brooms, and store greeter vests as they headed back into the classroom. http://www.themarknews.com/articles/2348-canada-s-lagging-child-labour-laws
A thorough summary -- in other words real research -- on the current state of Canada's labour laws. Provisions for children as young as twelve is made in Alberta one assumes for farming families and small retail businesses.
In Canada, labour laws dealing with the employment of children and young persons have been enacted over many decades. Pdf below.
The anniversary of Lehman's collapse has triggered some interesting articles.
Should they have let it go?
In Hank Paulson’s book on the 2008 financial crisis, the former US Treasury secretary recounts how Dick Fuld, former chief executive of Lehman Brothers, enthused to him about Ken Lewis, former head of Bank of America. “We have a lot in common – we’re both guys with a chip on our shoulder,” he said. http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/33bc0ea2-c0fe-11df-99c4-00144feab49a.html?ftcamp=rss
Of course because that is the essence of capitalism. You know, some win some lose, and when you lose you lose your money not other people's.
Once upon a time, capitalism was a very unforgiving system. http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2010/sep/16/getting-capitalism-right-lehman-brothers-collapse
But the revulsion for the banks has morphed into a new narrative, the nasty nanny state.
When Lehman collapsed, I never guessed that so many would end up almost as hostile to the state as to the banks themselves. http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2010/sep/15/lehman-financial-crisis-anti-statism
In Canada too. We just need police and our borders protected please. Thanks to David in Ottawa for sending this in.
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